Early during the European session, the Euro is trading above the 21 SMA and above the 200 EMA with an upside bias but showing signs of exhaustion.

During the American session yesterday, the Euro rose above the 21 SMA reaching 6/8 Murray around 1.0986.

According to the H4 chart, we can see that the euro is trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern and it is likely to continue trading between 1.0986 and 1.0944.

In case the euro breaks and consolidates above 1.0986, it could reach the psychological level of 1.10 and the November 27 high around 1.1016. If the Euro exceeds this level, it could reach 7/8 Murray at 1.1108.

On the other hand, if the euro falls below the daily pivot point at 1.0956 and consolidates below the 21 SMA at 1.0944, it could fall towards 5/8 Murray around 1.0864 and could even reach the 200 EMA at 1.0826, the level that coincides with the uptrend channel formed since December 7.

The eagle indicator is reaching overbought levels, so as long as the euro trades below the psychological level of 1.10, we could expect a technical correction. Additionally, if the Euro breaks below 1.0944, it could be the start of a decline with the target at 1.0742 (4/8 Murray).

The market sentiment report shows that there are 58.46% of traders who are selling the EUR/USD pair. According to our contrarian strategy, we expect the euro to continue to rise in the coming days and it could reach 1.1016 and 1.1108. For this scenario, we should expect a daily close above 1.1020.