empty
 
 
14.02.2025 01:33 PM
EUR/USD: Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

The EUR/USD pair is attempting to reach the key psychological level of 1.0500.

This image is no longer relevant

This strengthening is driven by President Donald Trump's decision to delay the implementation of reciprocal tariffs, which has weakened the U.S. dollar. The dollar is also under pressure from declining U.S. Treasury yields—the 2-year and 10-year yields currently stand at 4.31% and 4.53%, respectively.

Today, traders should focus on the upcoming U.S. retail sales report, scheduled for release during the North American session. This report is the last major economic event of the week and is expected to show a slight decline of 0.1% in January, following a 0.4% increase in the previous month.

Meanwhile, core Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation in the U.S. rose to 3.6% year-over-year in January, exceeding the expected 3.3%. This has reinforced market expectations that the Federal Reserve may delay rate cuts until the second half of the year, maintaining interest rates in the 4.25%-4.50% range for an extended period.

The euro could also face obstacles. European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Boris Vujcic stated on Thursday that markets are pricing in three rate cuts this year, calling this a reasonable expectation. He suggested that the ECB may remove its restrictive policy stance in its March statement, considering the anticipated decline in services inflation. This could create additional headwinds for EUR/USD in the coming months.

From a technical point of view, the pair found the nearest resistance near the round level of 1.0500 in the area of 1.0480. When overcoming this zone, the pair may stop in the 1.05350 level. It is followed by a round level of 0.0600. And while the oscillators on the daily chart are in positive territory, prices will head north.

On the opposite side, the pair finds support at 0.04500, followed by the 50-day SMA and the next support level at 0.0380. If prices fall below this level, deeper losses will accelerate.

This image is no longer relevant

Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit akaun anda sebanyak $3,000 dan dapatkan $1000 lebih lagi!
    Dalam Februari kami membuat cabutan bertuah $1000 dalam Kempen Chancy Deposit!
    Dapatkan peluang untuk menang dengan membuat deposit $ 3000 ke dalam akaun dagangan. Setelah memenuhi syarat ini, anda menjadi peserta kempen.
    SERTAI PERADUAN
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Daftar untuk peraduan dan tambah dana akaun anda dengan sekurang-kurangnya AS$ 500 untuk layak memenangi peranti mudah alih.
    SERTAI PERADUAN
  • Bonus 100%
    Peluang istimewa anda untuk menerima bonus 100% pada deposit anda
    DAPATKAN BONUS
  • Bonus 55%
    Dapatkan bonus 55% pada setiap deposit anda
    DAPATKAN BONUS
  • Bonus 30%
    Dapatkan bonus 30% setiap kali anda membuat penambahan dana akaun anda
    DAPATKAN BONUS

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget