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03.02.2025 12:48 PM
क्रिप्टो बाजार का कड़वा अनुभव

Bitcoin and Ethereum have been subjected to panic sell-offs. It was especially painful to watch Ethereum, which in one day showed a -26% plunge at its lowest point. There has been a small recovery of the trading instrument since then, but even after this, the chances of significant growth in the short term, and especially a recovery to last week's levels, remain very low.

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Cryptocurrencies opened with a sharp decline on Monday. Against the backdrop of a new trade war initiated by Trump and expectations of a tense day in the US stock market, the total capitalization of the cryptocurrency market shrank by 10% overnight. Over the past 24 hours, there were a huge number of liquidations: traders lost $2.2 billion, which is comparable to the losses seen during the FTX collapse and the COVID-19 pandemic. Many experts believe the market will recover quickly, but for now, it will likely decline even further rather than return to last week's highs.

Clearly, after the sharp drop, there has been an increase in interest from institutional investors, who view the current decline as an opportunity to enter the market at lower prices. This could help restore the capitalization of the cryptocurrency sector in the medium and long-term periods. Financial support from major players could also become a stabilizing factor that helps mitigate the effects of recent volatility. It is important to monitor new data and macroeconomic indicators in the coming days that may influence the market.

According to the latest data, during the past trading week, the net inflow into spot BTC-ETFs was +$559.5 million, compared to an inflow of +$1.757.7 billion in the previous week. The net outflow from spot ETH-ETFs was -$45.3 million, compared to an outflow of $139.4 million the previous week. Despite the decrease in the BTC-ETF inflow compared to the previous week, investors are still interested in interest in Bitcoin. This sentiment may be related to changes in the investment strategies of major players. In a situation where uncertainty in global financial markets is increasing, investors may seek safer assets, leading to significant fluctuations in fund inflows and outflows. As for ETH ETFs, the observed net outflow could indicate growing distrust in Ethereum as an asset given the current market conditions. As today's events showed, these concerns were not unfounded.

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As for the technical picture of Bitcoin, buyers are now targeting a return to the $95,000 level, which opens the direct path to $96,400, and from there, it's close to the $97,900 level. The furthest target will be the high around $99,500. If surpassed, this would signal a return to a medium-term bullish market. In case of Bitcoin's decline, buyers are expected to enter at $93,200. A return of the trading instrument to this area could quickly drop BTC to the $91,900 zone, with the $90,600 level being very close. The furthest bearish target would be the $89,100 area.

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Ethereum के तकनीकी परिदृश्य की बात करें तो, यदि $2,650 के स्तर से ऊपर स्पष्ट रूप से स्थिरता बनी रहती है, तो $2,719 तक सीधा रास्ता खुल जाएगा। वहां से, यह $2,787 के स्तर तक पहुंचने के करीब होगा। सबसे दूर का लक्ष्य $2,843 के आसपास रहेगा, जो पिछले एक साल का उच्चतम स्तर है। यदि यह स्तर पार कर लिया जाता है, तो यह मध्यम अवधि के बुलिश बाजार (तेजी के रुझान) में वापसी का संकेत देगा।

यदि Ethereum में सुधार (करेक्शन) होता है, तो खरीदारों के $2,550 के स्तर पर प्रवेश करने की संभावना है। यदि यह ट्रेडिंग इंस्ट्रूमेंट इस क्षेत्र से नीचे लौटता है, तो ETH तेजी से $2,450 ज़ोन तक गिर सकता है, जिसमें $2,353 का स्तर सबसे दूर का लक्ष्य रहेगा।

Jakub Novak,
InstaForex के विश्लेषणात्मक विशेषज्ञ
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